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Bitcoin risks new 2025 correction as BTC price uptrend starts 7th week
Key points:
Bitcoin (BTC) may start the last week of its latest “price discovery uptrend” on Monday with the price stuck below $120,000.
New findings released Sunday by popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital show that BTC price is running out of time to make new highs.
Bitcoin hits classic “price discovery correction” zone
Bitcoin risks keeping its recent $124,500 all-time high in place — if it follows historical patterns.
Updating X followers on bull market progress, Rekt Capital noted that Bitcoin is about to start the seventh week of its second “price discovery uptrend” since its 2024 halving.
After each halving event, the subsequent bull market contains a succession of such uptrends, each accompanied by a correction. The timing of each phase throughout Bitcoin’s lifespan has been roughly similar.
“Historically, Bitcoin Price Discovery Uptrend 1 tends to end between Week 6 & 8 of its uptrend. Whereas in Price Discovery Uptrend 2, Bitcoin tends to end its uptrend between Week 5 & 7,” Rekt Capital summarized.
“But if we think critically about previous Price Discovery Corrections across the cycles... Then only one of them started in Week 8 (2017), one of them started in Week 6 (2021) and and two of them started in Week 7 (2013 and 2025),” a newsletter on the topic observed in July
In 2025, Bitcoin’s first corrective phase took the price from near $110,000 to under $75,000 — a roughly 30% drawdown not uncommon in previous halving cycles.
New BTC price all-time high in Q4?
Continuing, fellow trader Daan Crypto Trades noted that BTC/USD has not yet delivered a “green” August and September back-to-back.
Related: Ether unstaking queue hits $3.8B: What does it mean for ETH price?
However, a dip could form the pretext for a larger cycle top to come toward the end of the year.
“We tend to see a quick flush followed by an explosive Q4 in most of the bull market years,” part of an X post stated Sunday
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.