[The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in May is 83.7%] On March 21, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in May is 83.7%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 16.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate until June is 29.9%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 59.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 10.5%.

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