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Tonight at 21:30, the US November non-farm payroll data will be announced. Currently, the focus of the market will shift to tonight's non-farm payroll. The market expects an increase of 183,000 in non-farm employment. Last month, non-farm employment only increased by 12,000, far below expectations. Hurricane Milton caused a large number of workers in Florida to become unemployed, and now these issues have been resolved, so the non-farm employment this week may be higher. Some analysts even predict that the employment may reach around 220,000. The unemployment rate is also a key indicator to follow before the Fed's December meeting. If the unemployment rate rises to 4.2% and employment unexpectedly weakens, the possibility of a Fed rate cut in December will be greater, which may weaken the US dollar.
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But personally, I don't think there will be a significant Fluctuation in the market tonight, but instead there may be a Rebound. As far as the current market situation is concerned, the drastic fluctuations on Thursday night have completed the necessary adjustments, and the technical indicators at the medium and small levels are also recovering rapidly, so the possibility of another severe 'Fluctuation' tonight is relatively small. If tonight's non-farm data is Unfavourable Information, the market may consider no hope for an interest rate cut this month, which may weaken the trend. But in my current judgment, the probability of this situation occurring is not high.
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On Friday, the intraday market, BTC has been oscillating and recovering relatively slowly. The highest point of BTC recovery is around 98858. Ethereum has recovered from an early low to the current high of 3932. From a four-hour perspective, the price is also in a partial rise, running near the midline, confirming support multiple times intraday, followed by sideways oscillation. Due to the strong effectiveness of the support below, the price will also be replaced by sideways consolidation, using time to accumulate long positions. In the short term, after a big retracement, the price has basically confirmed the completion of support, and long positions have started a rapid recovery, entering a pause. The price is also in a slow rising and winding state. It's just a matter of time before long positions re-enter the high position.
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There is no direct continuation of the decline in the current intraday, but a corrective Rebound will occur. Therefore, the strategy for tonight should be to go long resolutely at a low level and patiently wait for the market to further repair and rebound. Do not be influenced by panic sentiment and maintain a calm and rational investment attitude. The market is approaching our target profit position, so consider taking partial profits on Position and keep those positions with larger floating profits. If you are still hoping for continuous and drastic Fluctuation in the market, it may indicate a deviation in your understanding of the current market. Continuing to be bearish will only trap you at a low level and miss the opportunity for this correction.