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Traders will be keeping a close eye on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, scheduled for release Wednesday, July 12, 2023, which could possibly lead to a 25 basis point increase. The US Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) may pave the way for a new rate hike when it meets July 25-26.
In the process leading to the recent macroeconomic events in the USA, it was seen that the price of Bitcoin followed a stagnant course. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell recently stated that central bank officials are projecting at least two rate hikes by the end of 2023.
Meanwhile, US stocks are moving sideways in anticipation of inflation data on Tuesday. Following the CPI data release on Wednesday, Producer Price Index data is scheduled to be released the next day.
The expectation in annual inflation data is 3.1%. The previous annual inflation was announced as 4.0%. Monthly inflation expectation 0.3% - previous 0.1%. Producer Price Index data will be released on Thursday, the day after the inflation data. While the annual expectation was 0.4% in the PPI data, the monthly expectation was 0.2%. The previous annual PPI was announced as 1.1% and the monthly PPI as -0.3%.
Inflation is an important index that measures price changes over a period of time. Therefore, markets will look to see if inflation in the US follows the downward trend. In this context, inflation trends become even more important to Bitcoin price action given BlackRock CEO Larry Fink's recent statements that point to Bitcoin's possible status as an international asset and a hedge against inflation.
Few Days Left for FED's Interest Rate Decision
The meeting of the FED, which will take place for the interest rate decision, will be held on 25 - 26 July, and then the interest rate decision will be announced on 26 July. 15 days left to this decision. According to CME's expectations, the probability of a 25 basis point increase in interest rates is currently 92.4%, while the probability of remaining constant is priced at 7.6%.
At the last FED interest rate decision meeting, the participants saw it appropriate to pause the interest rates and left the interest rates constant. However, it was seen in the statements of the FED chairman and FED officials that this hesitation would not last long.
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