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The market is like an untrained dog; its behavior seems elusive but actually follows a certain logic. As a dog trainer, I find that the key to understanding the market lies in careful observation rather than blind commands.
My research into the cryptocurrency market stems from an experience where a family member accidentally attended a 'lecture'. This prompted me to delve deeper: why are some able to navigate market fluctuations with the precision of a hunter, while most can only go with the flow?
After in-depth research, I found that market behavior has striking similarities to canine behavior - both are a complex of emotional, reflexive, and conditional responses. Based on the core principles of dog training, I gradually revealed certain characteristics of the market:
First, the environment shapes behavior, rather than will determining behavior. Just as a dog barks not out of its inherent 'naughty' nature, but because it has received positive feedback in a specific context. The behavior of market participants is similar; most retail investors' decisions are often based on conditioned reflexes rather than rational judgments.
For example, the surge of a certain cryptocurrency in 2021 was not due to the merits of the project itself, but rather a series of external factors (such as celebrity statements, herd mentality, technical charts) that created an illusion of "rising equals profit," leading many investors to blindly follow the trend. Therefore, before making investment decisions, one should question themselves: Is this based on independent judgment, or an instinctive reaction influenced by the environment?
If you find yourself making decisions late at night, in a lively group chat atmosphere, or hearing statements like 'if you miss it, it will be too late', you are likely being influenced by external factors.
Remember, the more emotionally charged you are, the more likely you are to make irrational decisions. Staying calm and objective is essential to gaining an advantage in the market.