🚀 AIXBT: update before the unlock on July 22

The price is holding in the range of $0.17–0.18 and is closing above the 20-EMA for the sixth day.

Volume on Gate > $4 million per day; total market approximately $180 million.

The nearest unlock is on July 22 and is quite small (~0.02 % of the issuance ).

We are basically expecting a sideways movement at $0.15–0.19; if it breaks $0.19, the targets shift to $0.24.

1. What is happening right now
• Price and liquidity. The Gate spot quote fluctuates around $0.176 (±0.005). The daily turnover across all exchanges is ~ $180 million, with $4–5 million on Gate, which ensures a confident entry-exit even for large positions.

• Circulating coins. There are already 956 million out of 1 billion (, which is 5.6 %), so we do not expect additional "flood waves" of issuance; the unlocks are small and spread out over the weeks.

• The nearest unlock. On July 22, ~0.02% of the turnover will be released into the market — about $32 thousand at the current price; historically, the market absorbs such volumes without panic.

• Social background. The Twitter account @aixbt_agent remains active — partnerships with AI projects, a bridge to Base, and the announcement of future tools generate 85% "bullish" mentions on social media against 15% "bearish".

2. Technique
On the daily chart, the price confidently holds above the 20-EMA ≈ 0.164, 50-EMA ≈ 0.148, and 200-EMA ≈ 0.134. The RSI-14 is in a comfortable zone at 57 — there is still fuel for upward movement. The MACD has printed a green histogram for the fifth consecutive day, and the ATR-14 (~0.017) suggests an average daily range of about 10%. The nearest significant support is highlighted in the range of $0.14–0.15. The first resistance is at $0.19, and the second is the "ceiling" of the channel since April at $0.24.

3. Why the price might rise - and what could prevent it
Pros:

The listing on several major CEXs this spring plus the bridge to Base has sharply increased the token's visibility.

Daily volumes are stable or increasing; the weekly turnover has jumped by more than 30%.

The AI theme remains hot: with any surge of interest, the sector receives additional capital.

Disadvantages / Risks:

Almost all of the emission is already in circulation, which means that major news like "relocation" will not add to the supply shortage.

There is no listing on the large CEX pair — a number of institutions still cannot buy the asset directly.

A series of regular small unlocks until autumn creates background pressure, especially during market weakness.

4. Probabilistic scenarios for 1–2 weeks
Base (≈ 50 %). Volumes remain above $100 million, the unlock is being digested smoothly. The fluctuation range is $0.15–0.19. Trading idea: entry at $0.16–0.165; stop at $0.145; target at $0.19. Risk/reward ratio slightly above 2.

Bullish (≈ 30 %). The price breaks through $0.19 on increasing volume, possibly due to a partnership or new listing. Target range $0.20–0.26, primary intermediate target $0.24. After breaking above $0.19, move the stop to $0.17.

Bearish (≈ 20 %). Either Bitcoin sharply drops (> 15 %), or large addresses offload > 100 k AIXBT at once. In this case, a pullback to $0.12–0.14 is likely. Protective stop at a break below $0.145; we are looking to re-enter closer to $0.13.

5. Key Triggers and Risk Control

We are monitoring the inflow volume to exchanges: > 50 million AIXBT per day — a reason to reduce longs.

Monitoring the BTC range: a drop below 100k increases the chances of a bearish scenario.

Whale transactions ( > 100 k AIXBT) are recorded through BaseScan/Whale-alert, so we can react in time.

Any negativity towards AI altcoins from regulators is a signal to lock in some profits or hedge into stablecoins.

6. What else to look out for in the upcoming month

Market reaction to the unlock on July 22: weak sales will indicate healthy demand.

Google Trends statistics for the query "aixbt": spikes often precede sharp price impulses.

Team announcements on X and Discord: partnerships with well-known AI startups can provide an instant influx of liquidity.

AIXBT still looks stronger than the AI token market: it holds above all key EMAs, and volumes are strengthening. The base scenario is a cautious movement within $0.15–0.19; a breakout at $0.19 paves the way to $0.24 and above. A stop-loss below $0.145 maintains a comfortable risk management, and the profit potential in the base setup remains at least two to one.