Based on the real-time market data of Ethereum (ETH) on July 14, 2025 (current price $2,980.95, BOLL middle band 2,986.62, MACD death cross), combined with technical indicators and oscillation structure, the following precise strategy is formulated:

Core Strategy and Levels
1. Middle band breakout to go long
- Entry conditions: Price stabilizes at 2,986.62 USD (BOLL middle band), confirmed breakout with a 1-hour close, and MACD bars decrease in volume (DIF crosses above DEA).
- Target: Short-term outlook at $3,008-3,020 (BOLL upper band + round number), after breaking through look to **$3,050.
- Stop Loss: Set below $2,970, risk ≤2%.
2. Long position on lower band support
- Entry conditions: Price falls to $2,964-$2,970 (BOLL lower band + MA30 support), combined with KDJ oversold (J<20) or RSI<30.
- Target: rebound to $2,980-2,990 (middle band resistance), take profit in batches after breaking through.
- Stop loss: strictly set below $2,950 (daily strong support).
3. Resistance level short selling
- Entry conditions: Price rebounds to the resistance of 3,000-3,020 USD (previous high + BOLL upper band), with a long upper shadow or MACD bars turning negative.
- Target: Pull back to $2,980-$2,990, if broken look at $2,964.
- Stop loss: Set above 3,030 USD.
Key Signals and Risk Control
- technical indicator:
- MACD death cross (DIF 6.68 < DEA 8.5) is bearish, but the shortening green bars (-1.82) indicate a slowdown in the downward trend.
- KDJ oversold (J value 13.38), there is short-term rebound demand.
- Volume structure: The current trading volume is extremely low (2.9239 million), a breakout of the middle band requires increased volume (>5 million) to confirm validity.
- Linked Risk: If Bitcoin falls below $60,000, it may drag ETH to test the 2,950 support.
Position and Discipline
- Total position: ≤40%, single leverage ≤2x (open positions cautiously under low volatility).
- Stop-loss discipline:
- Long position: Exit if it falls below $2,950.
- Short position: Exit at the breakout of $3,030.
- Replenishment plan: If it急跌至 2,930美元 (weekly EMA60), you can buy in batches.
Summary
ETH is in a triangular convergence oscillation (2,964-3,020 USD), with high selling and low buying during the day. Break through the middle band to lightly pursue long positions, and reverse to test short positions when reaching the upper band. Focus on observing the MACD histogram turning and the volume coordination, strictly setting stop losses to avoid frequent stop losses in narrow oscillations. #ETH突破3000# #VIP 专属空投嘉年华# #BTC再创新高# #ETH#