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🧠 ETH Today's Market Depth Analysis
1. Technical Analysis Details
1. MACD (12,26,9)
The current MACD line is above the Signal line, and the Histogram is positive, indicating an early buying signal.
If the Histogram continues to expand, it will confirm the upward momentum; conversely, if the MACD crosses the zero line and falls back, it will turn into a cautious sell signal.
2. Moving Average Structure (15-minute Level EMA/SMA)
The short-term moving averages (EMA5, 13) and mid-term moving averages (EMA34, 55) are currently interleaving, forming a state of oscillation and consolidation.
If the price stands above EMA34/55 (≈$2,500 range) and receives support at key positions, it will be beneficial for the intraday rebound to start.
3. RSI and Oscillator Indicators
RSI hovers in the 47–50 range, momentum neutral; in a non-extreme zone, there is potential for both adjustment and rebound.
The Stochastic indicator is bearish (K≈28 is oversold, but no obvious reversal is seen), indicating that there may still be room for a short-term decline.
4. TD Sequential
No clear Buy Setup or Sell Setup has been completed, indicating that the price has not yet reached typical low or high point signals and remains within a consolidation range.
2. Macroeconomic Factors & DeFi Power
Stablecoins and DeFi activities are warming up: liquidity of stablecoins on the Ethereum chain (such as USDC) continues to surge, and the DeFi TVL is approaching $54B, showing a stable expansion trend.
The positive effects of legislation are becoming apparent: the advancement of the stablecoin bill (GENIUS Act) and the implementation of market structure regulation will enhance the absorption of ETH in trading and reserve directions.
The upward driving force remains: Research from MEXC and others indicates that if market liquidity continues, ETH is expected to explore the $3,000—$3,300 range.
3. Today's Market Performance Logic
If the MACD continues to expand + the price stabilizes above $2,500, ETH is expected to make a V-shaped rebound or continue to rise, with a short-term target of $2,550–$2,600.
On the contrary, if the MACD loses momentum + RSI declines + breaks below $2,480, then caution is needed as it may test the support area of $2,440–$2,450.
Continuous chasing of price increases should only be done after confirming that the technical signals are clear, to avoid being misled by volatility.
4. Strategic Recommendations
Bullish strategy: When the MACD shows a significant expansion and the 15-minute close remains stable above the middle upper band of the EMA (≈$2,500), a small long position can be initiated, targeting a short-term price of $2,550, with a stop loss set at $2,480.
Wait and see: If the MACD slows down and the RSI does not strengthen, it is recommended to wait for the fluctuations to become clear before participating.
Short-term short-selling opportunity: If the price breaks below $2,480 and the Stochastic continues to indicate weakness, consider a light position short at a lower level, with a profit target of $2,440.
5. Conclusion
The ETH technical indicators are currently leaning towards building a bottom and waiting for a breakthrough, and there are no significant signals for a sharp rise or fall yet.
The strong demand for DeFi and stablecoins, coupled with legislative support, provides a foundation for mid-term growth.
Today's key signal points for the trend lie in the $2,480–$2,500 range's stability and the evolution of the MACD trend. If the support holds, there will be opportunities to go long; otherwise, it will enter a short-term correction phase.