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According to the current price of Ethereum (ETH) on April 30, 2025, ( the current price is 1,802.50 Dollar, the volatility range over the last 24 hours is 1,765-1,835 Dollar), and based on the average EMA values and volume and price structures, the following precise trading strategy has been developed.
trading strategy and points
1. Breakout from overbought
- Entry conditions: price stability at the level of 1,820 Dollar ( resistance level EMA50 ), the breakout must be confirmed by the closing of the hour, and the trading volume must increase to more than 120 million USDT.
- Goal: short-term overview at 1,835-1,850 Dollar ( pressure area of the previous peak ), after the breakout we look at 1,880 Dollar.
- Stop-loss: it dynamically moves below 1,805 Dollar ( support EMA30) to protect profits.
2. Support bounce for buying
- Entry conditions: Price stability in the range of 1,775-1,790 Dollar ( Intersection of EMA30 support with daily line support ), with RSI below 30 or negative divergence in MACD over the hour.
- Goal: grow to 1,805-1,820 Dollar, and after the breakout, take profit in parts.
- Stop-loss: set just below 1,765 Dollar, risk ≤3%.
3. Resistance level for short selling
- Entry conditions: the price bounces back to $1,830-1,835 and faces ( resistance at the previous +EMA10) level, with the appearance of a long upper shadow or a dead crossover of KDJ within an hour.
- Goal: correction to 1,800-1,810 Dollar ( support EMA5), if this is broken, look for 1,775 Dollar.
- Stop-loss: set above 1,840 Dollars to avoid false breakouts.
Key Relationships and Risk Management
- BTC correlation: If Bitcoin holds at $85,500, ETH may rise simultaneously; if it drops below $84,000, it could negatively affect ETH.
- Volume signal: Current position volume is 30.5 billion USDT ( The market is active ), if the price breaks 1,835 Dollars with insufficient volume ( <1 billion USDT ), caution should be exercised against manipulation.
- On-chain risks: The current price of ETH is close to the maximum pain point of futures at 1,800 Dollar, and if it falls below 1,775 Dollar, it could lead to liquidations of over 320 million dollars.
Position Management
- Overall position: ≤50%, leverage for each operation ≤3 times ( one should be cautious when using high leverage in conditions of high volatility ).
- Discipline in setting stop-loss: the stop-loss must be set precisely, if the price falls below 1,765 Dollar or if BTC cannot hold 84,000 Dollar, it is necessary to exit.
- Plan to strengthen positions: If the price drops sharply below 1,750 Dollar ( near the 24-hour low ), it is possible to allocate 20% of capital for gradual buying.
Resume
ETH is currently trading in a volatile range from 1,775 to 1,835 Dollars, with the main trading strategy being a day breakout strategy. If the price consolidates above 1,820 Dollars, small volume purchases can be made, and if resistance arises at the 1,835 Dollars level, a short position can be opened. Attention should be paid to the area around the EMA lines (1,800-1,820 Dollars) to determine the direction, maintaining a stop-loss to avoid emotional trading. #Gate.io App 全新升级# #AI 概念币普涨# #BTC# #PI#