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Jin10 data compilation: The implementation of reciprocal tariffs has once again triggered a massive market shock. Will the Federal Reserve (FED) become the "market savior"?
The Fed won't bail out1. Morgan Stanley: Unless there is a recession, the Fed probably won't cut rates at all this year. 2. Fed Mouthpiece: The Fed's rate cuts may also not be able to respond to broader concerns raised by Trump's trade war. 3. Fitch: Tariffs significantly raise the risk of a US recession and limit the Fed's ability to cut rates further. 4. "Dr. Doom" Roubini: The Fed will keep interest rates steady for the rest of the year, and Powell will wait for Trump to give in first. 5. "New Debt King" Gundlach: At present, the U.S. economy is more likely to have a recession, and the Fed does not have the conditions to resume interest rate cuts. 6. PIMCO: Significant economic weakness is necessary to cut interest rates, but the current degree of weakness is not enough, and the Fed still needs to curb inflation. 7. Standard Chartered: The Fed will only intervene if the hard data deteriorates rapidly; The Fed is expected to cut rates once in the second quarter and once in the third quarter. 8. BlackRock: The market's expectations for the Fed's multiple rate cuts are too high, ignoring the risk of rising inflation; The Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points four times this year. The Federal Reserve will come to the rescue1. Citi: Fed rate cuts are expected to occur before Trump removes all reciprocal tariffs.